The sadly-mistitled website The American Thinker is where the wingnuts who fancy themselves to be really, really smart go to play. So that’s where we find Randall Hoven, an engineer living in the hinterlands of Illinois, pulling out his slide rule to explain why white people are right to poop their pants when they see black people. Statistics show, Randall says with a flourish of the pocket protector, that black people are more likely to be murderers than white people.
That is, the chance of just any person you see on the street murdering someone this year is about 5 of 100,000 (assuming you see a random sample of people). The same chance of a white person is 3.5 of 100,000. And the same chance for a black person is 19.7 of 100,000. That means a black person is 5.6 times more likely than a white person to be a murderer.
It is totally rational for a any person (including Jesse Jackson and Barack Obama’s grandmother) to fear a black person more than a white one. In fact, you should fear them 5.6 times more.
Here are a few more interesting facts you should take into account when determining who and what to be afraid of. You are 65 times more likely to drown in a bathtub than by being bitten by a venomous spider — so it’s totally rational to be afraid of bathtubs. And you are three times more likely to be killed by an acquaintance than a total stranger, so you really need to spend more time with strangers, just to be safe.
And if you write a post like the one that Hoven wrote, you are 356 times more likely to get linked by David Duke.
Gavin adds: Maybe I’m reading these figures wrong here, but Hoven seems to be leaving out the salient, indeed the pivotal — indeed the crucial — matter of who-kills-whom. Because apparently, the best measure you can take to protect yourself from Black-on-X homicide is to be a white person.
Once you do that, though, you need to start fearing the greater number of white murderers who would kill you. Is not life’s larder richly stocked with complexities? I always think so.